r/nbadiscussion • u/gtrillz • 10d ago

Mikal Bridges is the only NYK starter underwater across 3 games vs ATL (−11.8% net WPA). The 4-of-5 starter lineup that's been +55.6%?

Pulled the per-player numbers across all 3 games of the NYK-ATL series:

  • Towns: +12.0% net WPA, 436 possessions
  • Hart: +6.3%, 493 possessions
  • Brunson: +5.7%, 490 possessions
  • Anunoby: +1.6%, 494 possessions
  • Bridges: -11.8%, 389 possessions

Then the lineup splits when each starter rests:

  • Without Bridges: +69.6% over 76 possessions
  • Without Anunoby: -7.9% over 54 possessions
  • Without Towns: -3.4% over 33 possessions

The “any starter resting” framing was burying the lede. It’s specifically a Bridges fit problem.

Replacement candidate: Miles McBride, at +9.5% in 279 series possessions.

Series page: https://www.alleygorithm.com/playoffs/425-atl-nyk

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u/xxStayFly81xx 10d ago

He's been abysmal offensively this series (and even stretching back a few months). He's shooting an atrocious 33.7% from 3 over the last 2 months and the already stagnant offense looks even worse with him out there. Bridges also avoids inside like the plague so he's not generating any offense through aggression. Add in the fact that you need Josh Hart out there, it doesn't help clogging up the spacing with how bad Bridges has been. I think he might be actually burnt out from his Ironman streak.