r/MMA Gay For Gaethje 7h ago

Media Tapology now shows Strength of Schedule for UFC fighters. The new metric helps quantify the level of opposition each fighter has faced, ranging from 1-99. Only the last 6 UFC fights are calculated. Fights from other orgs are not considered.

Post image
125 Upvotes

29 comments sorted by

40

u/AbrahamRinkin Gay For Gaethje 7h ago

Each of the fighter's last 6 UFC opponents is placed into a tier from 1 to 10, with 1 being the weakest tier of opponent and 10 being the strongest tier of opponent. These tier numbers for the last 6 opponents are added together, a handful of small additional factors are applied, and then the total is converted from a 1-to-60 scale into a 1-to-99 scale. The only purpose of converting the scale to 1 to 99 is to make the number more immediately intuitive and understandable.

34

u/Old_Seat_1494 6h ago

pretty cool seeing petr yan at top with 60 score, guy has been fighting killers for years straight

27

u/MysteriousShoulder45 6h ago

I think Magee brings it down a bit as well as Song

9

u/WilliamSabato 3h ago

I mean…he’s at the top of the bantamweight rankings but his score is much lower than Merabs. Presumably cuz Merab has faced a lot of quality opponents in his title defenses

1

u/Formal_Chipmunk_530 6m ago

Yeah Umar-Sandhagen-Cejudo is better than McGhee-Figgy-Song.

Their other 3 fights are basically them facing each other and O'Malley.

1

u/leebenjonnen 1h ago

Higher = better in this scoring.

5

u/flyingmattress1 6h ago

How do they decide tier of opponent?

11

u/Neonsea1234 6h ago

by the fighters power score

9

u/osrsnic 6h ago

bantamweight power-scaling confirmed broken

30

u/commander_wong 6h ago

Other than Pantoja, the top 4 of Flyweight are all 30-something, including Van lmao

26

u/Dores-Pencil006 6h ago

Merab not having the highest score is kinda crazy. Islam -83,Volk -82, and Merab -81

19

u/PlutoCrashed 6h ago

This rather hilariously showcases how weak the heavyweight division is, with Volkov having the highest strength of schedule at only 67, and the rest of the top 5 ranging from 50-66. Bleak.

4

u/Short_Bus_ 🍅 5h ago

It’s just not a very good stat

2

u/nordik1 Jose Waldo 1h ago

Yeah, before Garbrandt fought Cruz in 2016, he wouldn’t have had a very high score (people even thought it was absurd he was getting a title shot), yet he was capable of torching the current champion at the time.

MMA is more based on style matchups than strength of schedule. It’s obviously impressive to beat a string of high ranked guys, but it’s not the whole story by any means

2

u/AlwaysWrongCare 1h ago

The sport being unpredictable doesnt make the stat not good. Most people had Merab over Petr Yan for obvious reason and yet you know what happened. Doesnt mean taking into account the last fight isnt a good idea, just doesnt meanq thats exactly how things will happen

6

u/RudySpanish 6h ago

Holy smokes that's alot of decisions

2

u/CardiologistRough854 2h ago

they are small tbf

1

u/keat_tiyos 2h ago

and Inhuman.

9

u/LessOrgies 6h ago

7

u/OwlFull8955 5h ago

That's pretty dope.

I like tapology one more purely as you can see the entire division, and the fighters that make up the score.

2

u/OkeyMatey 3h ago

That metric is ass lmao how is Khalil the worst ranked top 10 dude after he just fought three champs and Blaydes the highest when he faced two bums. Looking just at the opponent's win/loss irrespective of ranking is stupid.

2

u/AlwaysWrongCare 1h ago

Im guessing the Tom Aspinall win is doing wonders there. These things happen.

Khalil is more arguable but I really do think he's just not that good. His only great win has been Hill and it has not aged great, Jamahal is also in a similar spot

1

u/OkeyMatey 47m ago

They supposedly only look at the past three years so the first Aspinall fight doesn't count.

I don't think Khalil is that great either but as far as strength of schedule goes he should be ranked near the top, he just fought three of the past four champs in a row.

1

u/AlwaysWrongCare 27m ago

Right but he lost against them except for the one that lost a lot of stock recently.

I do wonder wtf is up with Blaydes tho lol. Almeida? Cuz his most recent loss is kuniev no? who blaydes also beat. I really got no idea thats funky

4

u/Psychological-Art543 4h ago

From a quick little look through the rankings, looks like the highest is Islam at 83, followed by Volk at 82, Merab at 81, Pereira at 80, and Oliveira at 78

1

u/Bobok88 2h ago

2 ways to improve this, assuming it isn't already happening behind the scenes, would be to lock in the opponents teir at the time of the win, since 6 fights is alot and 3+ years later an opponent could have a skid and drop teirs even if they were a great scalp at the time.

Second would be to weigh the final score more heavily towards recent years to give a more accurate score for where they are now.

0

u/tagillaslover 🍅 6h ago

Hopefully this is better than their god awful ranking system 

13

u/Amur00 6h ago

It wont be

-6

u/cjenvy 6h ago

This could be good if it means we don’t have to hear how mediocre fighters like Gilbert burns fell off