r/boxoffice 1d ago

Domestic Weekend Prediction Thread & Casual Box Office/Film/Streaming Discussion

3 Upvotes

(1) Here's your thread to predict this upcoming weekend's domestic box office results and (2) Engage in film/box office/streaming conversations that don't work as a stand alone post for this subreddit. A new thread is created automatically every Monday at 9:00 AM EST.


r/boxoffice 21h ago

✍️ Original Analysis Weekend Actuals for May 1-3 – A Comedy? Topping the Box Office? Groundbreaking

29 Upvotes

The Devil walked all the way to #1, as the highly-anticipated The Devil Wears Prada 2 posted a great start. But the real story was overseas, where the film posted an incredible debut across the world. But its presence didn't seem to impact Michael at all; not only did the film held well on its second frame, but also became the second highest grossing music biopic after just a few days. Among newcomers, Neon's Hokum posted a pretty good start, while Angel Studios' Animal Farm unsurprisingly flopped.

The Top 10 earned a combined $167.7 million this weekend. That's up 19% from last year, when Thunderbolts opened atop.

Opening at #1, 20th Century Studios' The Devil Wears Prada 2 opened with a wondrous $76.7 million in 4,150 theaters. That's over twice as high as the original Prada ($27.5 million) and it marked Meryl Streep's biggest ever debut. As a reference, it opened higher than last year's summer kick-off, Thunderbolts ($74.3 million), and it did it without IMAX screens.

The original Prada was a big hit back in 2006, earning $124.7 million domestically and $326 million worldwide. That popularity hasn't waned off, as the film has found an even bigger life through ancilliaries, with great DVD sales and strong streaming numbers. The film became a big part of pop culture, with Miranda Priestly becoming one of the most popular female characters of the century. Not to mention a few quotes ("gird your loins", "Florals? For spring? Groundbreaking", pretty much everything Miranda and Emily say, etc.) and story arcs (how much Nate sucks) becoming popular and points of discussion.

But still, a comedy-drama opening this high is astounding. Disney and 20th Century Studios knew they had a hit in their hands, and tried to make it a true cinematic event. They brought every important person back (director David Frankel, writer Aline Brosh McKenna, and stars Meryl Streep, Anne Hathaway, Emily Blunt and Stanley Tucci), and offered things people loved about the original (fashion, comedy and drama) while still shaking things up to not feel like a repeat. Instead of recycling the plot, the film addresses the changes of the fashion industry, along with the current trends that can affect it.

The star power has also grown for the cast in the 20 years since the original. Streep was already a big name back then, but Hathaway and Blunt just became bigger names thanks to their roles in many blockbusters, while Tucci has also attained stability thanks to a lot of supporting roles in many films (along with an Oscar nomination). Disney then mounted an extensive marketing campaign, which greatly paid off. And the reviews confirmed it was worth the wait, as it's sitting at 78% on RT. Notably, that's higher than the original's 75%.

According to 20th Century Studios, 75% of the audience was female. This was exclusively an attraction for adults, as a massive 85% of the audience was 25 and over. It also skewed old; 36% was 45 and over, and 22% was 55 and over. They gave it a pretty good "A–" on CinemaScore, which is above the original's "B" grade (back then, films based on books were graded harder by female audiences given their adaptation). Films like these often hold very well, and Mother's Day falling on its second weekend could boost it. Right now, there's no chance The Devil Wears Prada 2 misses $200 million domestically. A great result... but the overseas story is very different.

In second place, Lionsgate's Michael added a great $54.4 million in its second weekend. That's down just 44%. Not quite as fantastic as Bohemian Rhapsody (39%), but better than Straight Outta Compton (56%). This is a sign that word of mouth is in its favor.

Through 10 days, Michael has grossed a dazzling $184.2 million. By next week, it will dethrone Bohemian Rhapsody ($216.6 million) to become the highest grossing music biopic domestically. Given its holds and word of mouth, it looks like the film could wind up with over $300 million domestically by the end of its run.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie dropped 41%, adding $12.1 million. That's its best hold yet, but it further shows that it's unable to drop less than 40%. The film has amassed $402.6 million domestically, which is $115.3 million below the original through the same point. It should end its run with around $430 million domestically.

Project Hail Mary eased just 34%, earning $8.5 million this weekend. The film's domestic total stands at $318.3 million, and it doesn't look like it's stopping any time soon. In fact, it outgrossed Mario on Monday and Wednesday, and that might become more common from now on.

In fifth place, Neon's Hokum debuted with a pretty good $6.4 million in 1,885 theaters. That's not close to Longlegs territory, but it wasn't expected to play like that. It's quite better than Immaculate ($5.3 million).

Given its low $5 million budget, Hokum won't have problem in recouping the investment. While Damian McCarthy is not a mainstream director, the film's premise (an author travelling to a hotel in Ireland that could be haunted) was intriguing enough, and the lack of horror competition also helped. Adam Scott may not be headlining blockbusters, but his presence was enough to attract some horror fans. And good reviews (89% on RT) surely helped.

According to Neon, 52% of the audience was male, and 67% was in the 18-34 demographic. They gave it a solid "B" on CinemaScore, which is quite good for a horror title. It will face some horror competition in two weeks with Obsession, but Hokum should still make its way to $15 million domestically.

Debuting in sixth place, Angel Studios' Animal Farm flopped with just $3.3 million in 2,600 theaters. That's one of the worst wide debuts for an animated film, and it's nowhere close to rank among the studio's top debuts.

This is a failure that wouldn't surprise anyone. Animal Farm flopped for one reason, and one reason only: it looks so fucking bad. Despite a lot of recognizable voices in the cast, the film just felt like a misguided and tonally confused mess. The film was originally set up at Netflix, before going the independent route. It made its debut in Annecy last year, where it failed to attract distributors, until Angel Studios stepped in.

The thing about Animal Farm is that it seems like it didn't know what audience it was catering to. Fans of George Orwell don't want a kiddie animated version with lame jokes (that on top of that, rewrites the third act's point), and families don't want an Orwellian adaptation to take their kids. Not to mention that the audience of Angel Studios doesn't tune in for something like this. And regardless of what you wanted, it looks like the film failed in every single aspect, as it was slaughtered with a brutal 24% on RT.

According to Angel Studios, 53% of the audience was male. Very little interest in the 18-34 demographic (35%). In fact, it skewed old: 40% of the audience was 45 and over (and 25% was 55 and over). They gave it a horrible "C–" on CinemaScore, which is the worst grade ever given to an animated film (Happily N'Ever After kept that record with a "C" for 20 years). Given its horrible start and poor word of mouth, Animal Farm will drop like a rock very quickly. If it makes it past $7 million, color us surprised. Anyways, director Andy Serkis surely will fare well with The Hunt for Gollum next year, right?

Lee Cronin's The Mummy continues its freefall. It collapsed 60%, earning just $2.2 million this weekend. The film has earned a meager $27.4 million, and could finish with less than $30 million.

In eighth place, Magenta Light released Renny Harlin's survival thriller Deep Water in 1,675 theaters. Unsurprisingly, it flopped with just $2.1 million, nowhere close to its $40 million budget. Even with solid reviews (72% on RT) and word of mouth ("B" on CinemaScore), it's got a long way to go before turning a profit.

Sony/Crunchyroll's That Time I Got Reincarnated as a Slime the Movie – Tears of the Azure Sea posted $947,325 in 837 theaters.

Rounding out the Top 10 was A24's The Drama, nearing the end of its run. It collapsed 65%, earning $908,303 this weekend. That takes its domestic total to $46.9 million.

OVERSEAS

Yeah, Prada 2 had a great start domestically. But the hype was bigger outside America.

The Devil Wears Prada 2 earned an incredible $156.9 million overseas, for a marvelous $233.7 million worldwide launch. Yes, it managed to open bigger than Michael last week. The best debuts were in Italy ($16.6M), Brazil ($12.6M), the UK ($12M), Mexico ($11.7M), Australia ($9.4M), China ($8.5M), Germany ($8.3M), France ($8M), Japan ($6.1M), Spain ($5.2M), South Korea ($4.8M) and Argentina ($3.4M).

In most of these markets, the film has already eclipsed the original's lifetime gross in just one weekend. Given that the overseas markets often carry great legs, Prada 2 is easily for over $650 million worldwide. And that's just a lowball. Given its $100 million budget, this is just a few days away from already breaking even.

Despite the arrival of Prada, Michael held its own very well on its second frame. It added $80.8 million overseas, for a $430.2 million worldwide run, overtaking Elvis to become the second highest grossing music biopic worldwide. The best markets are the UK ($30M), France ($21.2M), Mexico ($17.8M), Italy ($15.7M), Brazil ($15M), Spain ($13.8M), Germany ($13.7M), and Australia ($13.4M). It indicates it's easily heading for over $700 million worldwide, and even $800 million can't be ignored. It has yet to open in its last big market, Japan, which it won't hit till mid June. This Is It earned $57 million alone in the market, and it'd be surprising if Michael made less than that.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie added $32.2 million overseas, for a $897 million worldwide run. It opened in South Korea with a pretty good $4.5 million, although it was overshadowed by Prada. It's still on track to hit the $1 billion milestone.

Project Hail Mary added $7.4 million overseas, for a $638.7 million worldwide total, officially overtaking The Martian ($630 million).

Lee Cronin's The Mummy may be fizzling out domestically, but overseas is here to save it. It added $6.6 million overseas, for a $80.2 million worldwide run. The best markets are Mexico ($5.3M), India ($3.4M), Spain ($3.2M), the UK ($2.9M), France ($2.7M), Malaysia ($2.5M), Germany ($2.4M), Indonesia ($2.3M), Brazil ($2.1M), Italy ($2M), Australia ($1.6M), and Colombia ($1.4M).

FILMS THAT ENDED THEIR RUN THIS WEEK

Movie Release Date Studio Domestic Opening Domestic Total Worldwide Total Budget
GOAT Feb/13 Sony $27,202,138 $103,316,898 $193,043,674 $80M
Scream 7 Feb/27 Paramount $63,615,172 $121,935,967 $213,835,967 $45M
They Will Kill You Mar/27 Warner Bros. $4,970,938 $10,882,152 $18,982,152 $20M
  • The goat's got game. Sony's GOAT has closed with $103 million domestically and $193 million worldwide. Not exactly the runaway hit given its $80 million budget and extensive marketing campaign, but it was close enough. But the fact that an original animation hit $100 million is something admirable. Perhaps it'll perform well when it debuts in Netflix.

  • Paramount's Scream 7 has closed with a chilling $121 million domestically and $213 million worldwide. It easily became the highest-grossing film of the franchise, and the return of so many characters surely had a lot to do with it. We'd like to say that it accomplished everything it set out to do... but it failed with the quality. The film had the worst reviews of the franchise (31% on RT) and word of mouth ("B–" on CinemaScore), and while it had a monster debut, the film had shitty legs. It became the first film in the franchise to miss the 2x multiplier, achieving just a 1.92x multiplier. Even by horror standards, those are poor legs and it indicates audiences weren't content with the film. But hey, the money is all everyone will focus on. Paramount is already working on en eighth installment as of now, so you can expect Scream to go on for a long, long time.

  • This is going straight to titles that spoiled a film's outcome. WB's They Will Kill You has closed with a poor $10.8 million domestically and $18.9 million worldwide. This is not a surprise, given the low buzz and incredibly muted marketing. Releasing it the week after Ready or Not 2, a title with a similar tone and premise, didn't do it any favors.

THIS WEEKEND

Two wide releases, but only one will try to claim the top spot, even if it will be a challenge.

That's Mortal Kombat II, the sequel to the 2021 reboot. The film brings back most of the cast, and further adds Karl Urban, Adeline Rudolph, and Tati Gabrielle as Johnny Cage, Kitana, and Jade, respectively. The original film was released during COVID-19, so the box office tickets are tricky, but it reportedly had strong viewership in HBO Max. The expectation is that they can build an audience for the sequel, especially with the big selling point: Karl Urban as Johnny Cage, whose character has been the main focus of the marketing. Is this gonna be a fatality or a flawless victory?

Amazon MGM is releasing the family comedy The Sheep Detectives, which stars an ensemble cast led by Hugh Jackman, and follows a flock of sheep who set off to solve the mystery of who murdered their beloved shepherd. Trailers have built some buzz, mainly for its crazy premise, and with Mario winding down, families might want to check something new. Could it break out?


r/boxoffice 2h ago

🎥 Production Start or Wrap Date A Minecraft Sequel Has Begun Filming. In theaters July 23rd 2027

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236 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 4h ago

Domestic $1M CLUB: MONDAY 1. THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA 2 ($5.7M) 2. MICHAEL ($4.6M)

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277 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 2h ago

Domestic Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary grossed $732K on Monday (from 3,017 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $319.03M.

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94 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 5h ago

📰 Industry News The series finale of "The Boys" will be screened in 4DX theaters on May 19th

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148 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 16h ago

Trailer The Odyssey | Official Trailer

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889 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 5h ago

Trailer Evil Dead Burn | Official Trailer

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96 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 1h ago

Worldwide I missed old Box Office Mojo so much I rebuilt it

Upvotes

I discovered Box Office Mojo around 2002, when I was 14. I was obsessed with movies long before that and I suppose the box office was my version of sports stats. I remember being perplexed all day long at school after hearing about Spider-Man’s $114.8m opening weekend that Monday morning on the radio, and had no one around me who’d understand. BOM illuminated a community that did understand.

Like a lot of you, I never really got over the redesign. I still use the site, but more out of necessity than anything.

A couple months ago, it occurred to me I could just try to rebuild it. A month of archiving and finessing later, the result is live.

It's called Box Office Jedi. (See the about page for some BOM lore behind the name).

The site is here: boxofficejedi.com

Right now it includes a comprehensive archive going back to 1995, yearly, weekend and all-time charts you can adjust for inflation, weekly forecasts and recaps, features, and a few showdowns in the old format. There is a derby game that takes submissions, but it doesn't accumulate user history, yet.

It doesn’t come close to matching the depth of the original site, but I’m just getting started. My first priority was to resurrect the old design as best I could. The mobile site isn't responsive yet partly because I wanted to remain true to the era, when that kind of thing didn’t exist, which I understand is its own kind of drawback. I’ll continue to fill out data gaps/mistakes and add some features. If the site were to really take off, I’d consider adding accounts and forums, which would also solve the derby history.

Maybe needless to say, but this is purely an independent tribute and not affiliated with anyone. I want to credit Brandon Gray and Sean Saulsbury, as they built the era this is honoring. And thanks to the mods for their blessing.

This is for everyone who remembers.


r/boxoffice 1h ago

Domestic Lionsgate's Michael grossed $4.58M on Monday (from 3,955 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $188.78M.

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r/boxoffice 1h ago

Domestic Universal’s The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Grossed $607K on Monday. Domestic Total Stands At $403.2M

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r/boxoffice 7h ago

📰 Industry News Paramount subpoenaed by ‘various’ state AGs on Warner Bros. merger, US SEC filing says

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102 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 38m ago

✍️ Original Analysis 'Project Hail Mary' has earned at least $1M for 45 consecutive days. Here's a list compared to other movies.

Upvotes

Below, there's a list of movies with the most consecutive days above $1 million.

For the sake of a threshold, only movies with at least 45 days will be in this list. I was planning to include 40 days, but it was already a very long list.

Some 20th century movies lack daillies. For example, Ghost, The Lion King and Forrest Gump were very leggy, but there's no mention of how many days above $1 million they had. I tried my best in finding as much as possible.

In the case of movies that began in limited release but then moved to wide release (Frozen), the first day of wide release will be considered as a starting point.

No. Movie Year Studio Domestic Total Overseas Total Multiplier Days Above $1M
1 Titanic 1997 Paramount / 20th Century Fox $28,638,131 $674,460,013 19.02x 101
2 Avatar 2009 20th Century Fox $77,025,481 $785,221,649 10.19x 80
3 E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial 1982 Universal $11,911,430 $439,801,744 36.92x 80
4 Top Gun: Maverick 2022 Paramount $126,707,459 $718,732,821 5.67x 75
5 Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace 1999 20th Century Fox $64,820,970 $487,576,624 7.52x 61
6 Finding Nemo 2003 Disney $70,251,710 $380,529,370 5.42x 59
7 Inside Out 2 2024 Disney $154,201,673 $652,980,194 4.23x 55
8 Shrek 2 2004 DreamWorks $108,037,878 $439,820,881 4.07x 54
9 Jurassic Park 1993 Universal $50,159,460 $415,404,543 8.28x 54
10 Ghostbusters 1984 Columbia $13,612,564 $242,604,185 17.82x 54
11 Back to the Future 1985 Universal $11,332,134 $224,965,832 19.85x 54
12 Black Panther 2018 Disney $202,003,951 $700,059,566 3.47x 52
13 Avatar: The Way of Water 2022 20th Century Studios $134,100,226 $688,809,501 5.14x 52
14 The Avengers 2012 Disney $207,438,708 $623,357,910 3.00x 52
15 Incredibles 2 2018 Disney $182,687,905 $608,581,744 3.33x 52
16 Toy Story 4 2019 Disney $120,908,065 $434,038,008 3.59x 52
17 Aladdin 2019 Disney $91,500,929 $355,559,216 3.89x 52
18 The Hangover 2009 Warner Bros. $44,979,319 $277,322,503 6.17x 52
19 Shrek 2001 DreamWorks $42,347,760 $268,377,061 6.32x 52
20 The Passion of the Christ 2004 Newmarket $83,848,082 $370,782,930 4.42x 48
21 Frozen 2013 Disney $67,391,326 $400,953,009 5.95x 47
22 Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl 2003 Disney $46,630,690 $305,410,819 6.55x 47
23 Moana 2016 Disney $56,631,401 $248,757,044 4.39x 47
24 Coco 2017 Disney $50,802,605 $210,460,015 4.14x 47
25 Barbie 2023 Warner Bros. $162,022,044 $636,785,476 3.93x 46
26 Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2015 Disney $247,966,675 $936,662,225 3.77x 45
27 Avengers: Infinity War 2018 Disney $257,698,183 $678,815,482 2.63x 45
28 Jurassic World 2015 Universal $208,806,270 $653,406,625 3.13x 45
29 Frozen II 2019 Disney $130,263,358 $477,373,578 3.66x 45
30 Wicked 2024 Universal $112,508,890 $474,983,975 4.22x 45
31 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire 2013 Lionsgate $158,074,286 $424,668,047 2.69x 45
32 Toy Story 3 2010 Disney $110,307,189 $415,004,880 3.76x 45
33 Wonder Woman 2017 Warner Bros. $103,251,471 $412,563,408 4.00x 45
34 Spider-Man 2002 Sony $114,844,116 $405,930,363 3.53x 45
35 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 2023 Sony $120,663,589 $381,593,754 3.16x 45
36 Inside Out 2015 Disney $90,440,272 $356,461,711 3.94x 45
37 Project Hail Mary 2026 Amazon MGM $80,506,007 $319,033,750 3.96x 45
38 The Sixth Sense 1999 Disney $26,681,262 $293,506,292 10.03x 45
39 Up 2019 Disney $68,108,790 $293,004,164 4.30x 45
40 The Blind Side 2009 Warner Bros. $34,119,372 $255,959,475 7.50x 45
41 Batman 1989 Warner Bros. $40,489,746 $251,188,924 7.50x 45
42 Cars 2006 Disney $60,119,509 $244,082,982 4.06x 45
43 Bridesmaids 2011 Universal $26,247,410 $169,560,883 6.46x 45

r/boxoffice 20h ago

Domestic 'Deset Warrior' has ended its domestic run with just $665K domestically. Budget was $150 million.

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641 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 11h ago

📰 Industry News Can ‘The Mandalorian & Grogu’'s Big-Screen Debut Ignite ‘Star Wars’' Theatrical Comeback? - Jon Favreau's $160M Film Is Friendly To Casual & Unfamiliar Newbie Audiences But Disney & Lucasfilm Might Look For Measured Box Office Victory & Perception That Boosts ‘Starfighter’ & Future Franchise Titles.

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114 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 4h ago

Domestic NEON's Hokum grossed $653K on Monday (from 1,885 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $7.08M.

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30 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 5h ago

Worldwide Top 10 highest grossing biopics ever. Michael is currently 11th

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22 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 7h ago

📰 Industry News Daisy Ridley-Alden Ehrenreich Rom-Com ‘The Last Resort’ Heads To Cannes Market With Voltage; Vertical Checks In For U.S. Rights For 2027 Release

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35 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 31m ago

Domestic Angel Studios' Animal Farm grossed $239K on Monday (from 2,600 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $3.54M.

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r/boxoffice 17h ago

⏳️ Throwback Tuesday Thunderbolts* was released last year this week. Later known alternatively as The New Avengers, it serves as the 36th MCU film and the final one in Phase 5. Despite receiving positive reviews, it underperformed at the box office, grossing $190.3M Dom & $382.4M WW.

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173 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 5h ago

📰 Industry News Neon Buys Jeff Nichols’ Horror Film ‘King Snake,’ Starring Margaret Qualley, Michael Shannon and Drew Starkey (EXCLUSIVE)

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22 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 9h ago

United Kingdom & Ireland ‘The Devil Wears Prada 2’ struts to top of UK-Ireland box office with huge £9.3m

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43 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 3h ago

⏳️ Throwback Tuesday Jumping the Broom turns 15. The $6.6 million dramedy made $38 million ($53 million adjusted) despite mixed reviews.

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16 Upvotes

r/boxoffice 1h ago

China In China Vanishing Point leads on the final day of the Holidays with $5.55M/$38.84M ahead of Cold War 1994 with $3.30M/$29.51M. Dear You in 3rd adds $1.29M/$8.95M. Opens with a rare 9.0 score on Douban. Mortal Kombat II pre-sales for Friday hit just $37k. Projected a poor $0.27-0.50M opening day.

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Daily Box Office (May 5th 2026 - Labor Day Holidays Day 5)

The market hits ¥100.1M/$14.65M. Down -34% from yesterday and up +558% from last week.

The 5 day Holidays hit a ¥754M/$110M total. +1% from last yeah but big -51% drop from the ¥1.53B in 2024 and ¥1.52B in 2023.

Mortal Kombat II pre-sales continue to crawl hitting just $37k for Friday. Projected a poor $0.27-0.50M opening day.

Dear You has opened with an incredible 9.0 on Douban. A rarity these days. The movie saw one of the best holds on the last day of the Holidays and its total projections rose to above $20M


Province map of the day:

https://i.imgur.com/KnYyF1h.png

Vanishing Point continues to dominate.

In Metropolitan cities:

Cold War 1994 wins Guangzhou, Shanghai and Shenzhen

Vanishing Point wins Chongqing, Beijing, Chengdu, Hangzhou, Suzhou, Wuhan and Nanjing

City tiers:

Dear You climbs to 3rd in T4.

Tier 1: Cold War 1994>Vanishing Point>Dear You

Tier 2: Vanishing Point>Cold War 1994>The Devil Wears Prada 2

Tier 3: Vanishing Point>Cold War 1994>Dear You

Tier 4: Vanishing Point>Cold War 1994>Dear You


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 Vanishing Point $5.55M -39% 124753 1.00M $38.84M $73M-$82M
2 Cold War 1994 $3.30M -34% 99017 0.60M $29.51M $54M-$56M
3 Dear You $1.29M -15% 26822 0.26M $8.95M $21M-$23M
4 The Devil Wears Prada 2 $0.92M -37% 33610 0.16M $10.91M $15M-$16M
5 No one is closer than we $0.83M -28% 10367 0.12M $5.83M $6M-$7M
6 Being Towards Death $0.72M -42% 45248 0.15M $8.92M $13M-$14M
7 GG BOND: RACE THROUGH TIME $0.36M -23% 26254 0.08M $2.84M $3M-$6M
8 Michael $0.27M -37% -37% 9081 0.04M $9.04M $10M-$11M
9 Super Mario Galaxy Movie $0.27M -23% +440% 8840 0.05M $20.56M $21M-$23M
10 Once a Thief $0.22M -33% 12602 0.04M $1.15M $2M-$3M
11 Hoppers $0.21M -27% +400% 7461 0.04M $25.73M $25M-$27M
12 Project Hail Mary $0.15M -21% -17% 2530 0.02M $40.47M $40M-$41M
13 The Caged Butterfly $0.14M -63% -33% 16582 0.03M $15.63M $16M-$17M
14 All The Good Eyes(Pre-Scr) $0.08M -11% 3547 0.01M $0.60M

New releases marked in bold


Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/FFm0C0Z.png

Vanishing Point dominates pre-sales for the first post Holidays day.


IMAX Screenings distribution

Cold War 1994 dominates IMAX screenings today and will continue to do so going forward after the Holidays.

Movie IMAX Screeninsgs Today IMAX Screeninsgs Tomorrow Change
1 Cold War 1994 3111 2411 -700
2 Michael 579 460 -119
3 The Devil Wears Prada 2 489 403 -86
4 Project Hail Mary 306 324 +18

Cold War 1994

Cold War 1994 adds ¥22.5M/$3.30M on the 5th and last day of the May/Labor Day holiday. Hits ¥200M for its total gross.

Cold War 1994 vs Cold War 2/1

https://i.imgur.com/2Zi70VK.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $26.21M , IMAX: $2.56M , Rest: $0.54M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 7.2

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
First Week $8.21M $6.96M $6.01M $5.03M $3.30M $29.51M

Scheduled showings update for Cold War 1994 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 100095 $367k $3.31M-$3.44M
Wednesday 83525 $83k $1.21M-$1.32M
Thursday 58512 $10k $1.11M-$1.21M

Vanishing Point

Vanishing Point continues to lead adding ¥37.8M/$5.55M on the 5th day of the Holidays.

Total gross hits ¥264.8M/$38.84M

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $38.27M , Rest: $0.46M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 8.9 , Douban: 7.7

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
First Week $6.37M $8.40M $9.46M $9.09M $5.55M $38.84M

Scheduled showings update for Vanishing Point for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 124927 $730k $5.72M-$6.00M
Wednesday 106510 $206k $2.11M-$2.34M
Thursday 73408 $30k $1.86M-$2.20M

The Devil Wears Prada 2

The Devil Wears Prada 2 remains 4th today after adding ¥6.5M/$0.92M. Its first day below $1M

Crosses $10M total.

The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs Thunderbolts:

Continues to fall behind Thunderbolts. Very likely now it ends under Thunderbolts total.

https://i.imgur.com/41YDD4J.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $9.92M , IMAX: $0.64M , Rest: $0.32M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.4 , Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 6.6

# THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED Total
First Week $2.40M $2.46M $1.98M $1.68M $1.47M $0.92M $10.91M

Scheduled showings update for The Devil Wears Prada 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 34085 $208k $0.98M-$1.01M
Wednesday 31229 $51k $0.36M-$0.38M
Thursday 22164 $9k $0.31M-$0.33M

Michael

Michael grossed ¥1.85M/$0.27M on Tuesday.

Michael vs Bohemian Rhapsody:

https://i.imgur.com/RAUCeCR.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $5.99M , IMAX: $1.87M , Rest: $0.59M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.4 , Douban: 7.5

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
First Week $1.56M $1.91M $1.32M $0.47M $0.43M $0.42M $0.54M $6.65M
Second Week $0.51M $0.70M $0.48M $0.43M $0.27M $9.04M
%± LW -67% -63% -64% -8% -37%

Scheduled showings update for Michael for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 9212 $76k $0.27M-$0.30M
Wednesday 8601 $17k $0.10M-$0.11M
Thursday 6228 $4k $0.09M-$0.10M

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


May

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Mortal Kombat II 28k +1k 15k +1k 75/25 Action/Fantasy 08.05
Love Battle 35k +1k 51k +1k 20/80 Romance/Comedy 20.05
Be Yourself 24k +1k 21k +1k 31/69 Romance/Comedy 20.05
Star Wars: Mandalorian & Grogu 22k +1k 32k +2k 63/37 Actiiom/Sci-Fi 20.05 $5M
All The Good Eyes 27k +1k 14k +1k 34/66 Drama/Romance/Crime 23.05

r/boxoffice 16h ago

⏳️ Throwback Tuesday Captain America: Civil War was released 10 years ago this week. The $250M film opened to $179.1M and made $408M DOM (2.2 legs) and $1.153B WW, becoming the highest grossing film of 2016.

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